Knowledge graph index
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Predictions
- By 2027-10-01, at least 50% of professional software developers in a credible public developer survey will report that an agent desktop app, agent workbench, or open source equivalent is their primary coding environment rather than a traditional IDE.
- By 2027-05-14, at least one major AI assistant or cloud platform will launch a public or partner agent marketplace/directory where users can discover, install, rent, or invoke third-party or provider-curated agents, positioning agents as the next distribution layer after apps, plugins, and GPT-style stores.
- By 2027-02-01, at least one major AI platform will price off-the-shelf or rentable agents using an opaque blended unit such as credits, intelligence units, or agent capacity, where the customer-facing meter combines model choice, token use, tool calls, data access, execution speed, and runtime rather than exposing tokens or wall-clock time as the primary billable unit.
- By 2030-12-31, Art Brut and adjacent Outsider Art will have materially repriced as an investment target, with public market commentary linking its appeal to the scarcity of uncontrolled, visibly human making in a culture saturated by high-fidelity generative AI imagery.
- By 2027-06-30, a recognizable agent resource layer will exist in which user-facing orchestrator agents act as human-to-agent-to-agents interfaces and delegate work to specialized remote worker agents or harnesses through A2A, an A2A-compatible protocol, or a directly comparable agent-to-agent contract.
- By 2027-05-14, at least one major AI platform will offer rentable, preconfigured agent harnesses for specific professional task domains, priced by credits, token consumption, execution time, completed work units, or a mixture, so that a user or organization can launch a specialized task agent without building and operating the harness from scratch.
Provenance
- AI provenance for derived claim prompt-is-spec-is-implementation
- AI provenance for derived claim radical-simplicity-fewer-parts-per-capability
- AI provenance for derived claim agent-runtime-substitutes-for-platform
- AI provenance for derived claim decision-logic-as-natural-language
- AI provenance for derived claim agent-harness-absorbs-complexity
- AI provenance for derived claim cost-shift-from-infra-to-writing-favorable
- AI provenance for derived claim agent-systems-collapse-surface-area